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06/21/2007 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sometimes, before you can begin the road of recovery, you need to first hit rock bottom. Over dramatic, yes, but that moment may have happened for the Milwaukee Brewers over a week ago.
Milwaukee had just 10 wins in its last 29 games before getting no-hit by Justin Verlander and the Detroit Tigers on June 12. That embarrassing setback dropped the Brewers to 34-30 on the season, but luckily still good for a 5 1/2-game lead over Chicago and St. Louis for first place in the NL Central.
Since then however, the Brew Crew has gone 7-1 to push their mark back up to 41-31. Milwaukee has won three straight series and is 10 games over .500 for the first time since late May.
The club has also seen its lead in the division stretch to 7 1/2 games over the Cardinals.
The Brewers wrapped a recent nine-game road trip 5-4 on Sunday before kicking off a nine-game homestand the following day. The franchise had lost three of the first four games on the trek, including the no-hitter, but then ripped off four straight wins, two at Detroit and another two in Minnesota.
"We're on a bit of a roll right now, which is nice," Brewers manager Ned Yost said after his team bested the Twins 5-2 on Saturday.
Milwaukee then closed out the trip with a 10-9 loss to the Twins before sweeping the Giants in three games to begin its homestand.
The series was an interesting one to say the least because it featured an appearance by Barry Bonds, who is chasing Hank Aaron's home run record of 755. Aaron, of course, spent the majority of his career in Milwaukee, first with the then Milwaukee Braves before ending his it with the Brewers.
Yost admitted on his club's official Web site that Bonds' visit was an event.
"But it's not because of any other factor than he's a great player," Yost told the site. "We look at him like we look at every team's great player."
However, Bonds and the Giants left Milwaukee disappointed. Not only did the club fail to win a game, but Bonds went just 1-for-6 without a homer.
HALL'S HOT
Bill Hall is finding his hitting stroke.
Hall burst on the scene with a 35-home run campaign a year ago, but had just six home runs and a .250 average after an 0-for-4 day on June 8 at Texas.
Since the, Hall has had a hit in eight of 10 games, lifting his average to .270. In one of those games, Verlander's no-hitter, Hall walked three times in three plate appearances.
Hall also has a pair of home runs in his recent stretch, including a grand slam in the series finale against the Giants on Wednesday. The slam highlighted a five-RBI day for the center fielder.
"Billy has really been putting together some really good at-bats for a stretch now," said Yost after the game. "He is fighting off good pitches and has been hammering what he can handle."
SUPPAN IS NOT
Jeff Suppan continues to struggle since his start to the season. The right- hander is 0-2 over his last three starts and has allowed 18 runs (17 earned) over that stretch.
He was hammered for nine runs and 10 hits in 4 2/3 innings of a no-decision against Minnesota on Sunday.
WOUNDED BREWERS
J.J. Hardy left Wednesday's game against the Giants in the third inning because of tightness in his lower back. He had missed the previous game because of tightness in his left hip.
Starting pitcher Chris Capuano was a late scratch from his scheduled start last Wednesday against Detroit and then landed on the 15-day disabled list due to a strained left groin.
He joins Corey Koskie (post-concussion syndrome) and pitcher Elmer Dessens (strained right shoulder) on Milwaukee's 15-day DL.
Rickie Weeks came off the disabled list on Monday and has gone 4-for-11 since, with all four of his hits being doubles. Weeks was serving as the leadoff hitter before being sidelined with soreness in his right wrist, but has been batting eighth since his return.
UP NEXT
The Brewers continue their homestand with a visit by Kansas City. The Brewers' Jeff Suppan (7-7, 4.69 ERA) counters Jorge De La Rosa (4-7, 5.23) in game one on Friday, followed by Dave Bush (4-6, 5.48) versus Brian Bannister (4-3, 3.21). Rookie Yovani Gallardo (1-0, 4.26) toes the rubber in the finale on Sunday against Odalis Perez (4-7, 6.06).
Houston will then visit Milwaukee to close out the residency.
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“You play to win the game!”
Those are the words of notoriously intense head coach Herman Edwards. Unfortunately, from a bettors’ perspective, most coaches don’t feel that way about the NFL preseason. August is a time to evaluate young players, finalize the depth chart and pray your star players stay healthy.
The trick to making money during the exhibition schedule is identifying coaches – like Edwards – who can’t stand losing even when there's nothing on the line.
The New York Jets betting won 15 of 21 preseason games and went 14-7 against the spread (ATS) during Edwards’s five-year tenure with the club. In his first season as the Kansas City Chiefs field boss, the team improved from 0-4 to 2-2.
Identifying win-a-holics like Edwards is a good start if you plan betting the preseason – even though most say you shouldn’t ... but what the hell do they know anyway?
Here’s a brief rundown of two teams that have a habit of winning during the second-stringers’ season, and another club that has a good chance of exceeding this year.
Playing in the media hub of North America can be stressful but the press can’t write anything negative about the way Tom Coughlin’s boys play in the preseason. The Giants won and covered all four games last summer, improving their record to 7-1 both straight up (SU) and against the spread over the last two years.
Coughlin has shown he’s not afraid to give his starters more time in the second preseason game than most of his colleagues, no doubt one of the reasons his team has been so dominant.
Bettors can count on America’s team early on. The Cowboys are 14-6 both SU and ATS since 2002 in warm-up contests. Former coach Bill Parcells, the coach of the team the last four years, has an intimidating, in-your-face presence – surely a reason Dallas has had so much early success.
The Big Tuna won’t be strolling the sidelines with looks of disgust, but new coach Wade Phillips will be anxious to make a good first impression for owner Jerry Jones.
Dallas plays the Indianapolis Colts and the Denver Broncos before things get serious. They then face the Houston Texans in their third contest (the game starters see most game time) and finish off with the Minnesota Vikings.
Expect a Dallas team able to walk away with another 3-1 preseason record.
This team scored a league-worst 12 offensive touchdowns last season, so the rookies and veterans each have something to prove. There’s a bounty of first-unit jobs up for grabs and plenty of bodies competing for those slots.
First-time head coach Lane Kiffin will be eager to impress an owner who employs the philosophy, “Just win, baby!”
The 32-year-old Kiffin has to command respect from a locker room full of players older than him. All of these factors should lead to purpose in preseason.
Don’t forget: before playing like a team that belonged in NFL Europe, Oakland went 4-1 (both SU and ATS) in exhibition games.
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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends
We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS. Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned. For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go. As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190). Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet. For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction. On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later. Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick. Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com
New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors
Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls
Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times.
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season.
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers
In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS.
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”. With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit. Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.
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